MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66662443cff0d225977d1cc3374f2f75f0867fbe27a1f6923ac076fc974260ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,536 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 5,618$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.3 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Colorado Rockies | 0c | 4,570$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 3,725$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.31 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Colorado Rockies | 16c | 2,234$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 1,579$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.88 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 971.91$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 687.6$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.95 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 605.43$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.17 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 551$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 479.25$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 410.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 407$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 344.54$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 226.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Colorado Rockies | 7c | 201.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…f2c1backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 174.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 160.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 151.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 146.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 100.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 78.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Colorado Rockies | 61c | 40.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 32.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 32.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 32.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…7f7fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 28.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.