Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b74819937d9e4a930a36b32f1b25d857a7b14e823ad12518427a4bd73ece3e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Team Lynx, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,208 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 1,910$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.62 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 1,316$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.68 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 747.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.83 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 635.39$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.65 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 350$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Lynx | 38c | 335$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 304.04$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 267.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Lynx | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 49c | 206.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Lynx | 72c | 200$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Team Lynx | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 175.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 144.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 141.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 52c | 127.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 120.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 119.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 99.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 80.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 79.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Lynx | 20c | 79.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 69.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 68.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 68.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Team Lynx | 60c | 58.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team Lynx | 47c | 36.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…d3f1backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Lynx | 52c | 24.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 22.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group ATeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.