CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab5402d207f30bc3a3a8f531b989a203f66078d396e4cd3c7eca447399dadef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof 9z, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked 9z | 60c | 3,314$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 43c | 2,859$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.14 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed 9z | 39c | 1,279$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.87 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 54c | 863.16$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.74 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 51c | 660.83$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed 9z | 43c | 599.96$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.97 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Imperial | 59c | 584$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.72 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 55c | 564$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 9z | 52c | 500$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed 9z | 63c | 437.59$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.87 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed 9z | 46c | 429.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Imperial | 54c | 419.12$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Imperial | 53c | 301.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed 9z | 47c | 277.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Imperial | 51c | 255.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…351fbacked 9z | 79c | 241.69$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 9z | 59c | 220.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Imperial | 24c | 217.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Imperial | 49c | 199$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Imperial | 20c | 184.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Imperial | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Imperial | 60c | 147.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Imperial | 36c | 137.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Imperial | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Imperial | 60c | 125.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked 9z | 48c | 120.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Imperial | 47c | 111.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Imperial | 52c | 109.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Imperial | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed 9z | 65c | 103.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed 9z | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Imperial | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Imperial | 50c | 97.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Imperial | 50c | 95.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Imperial | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…b88fbacked Imperial | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Imperial | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Imperial | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 9z | 54c | 81.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…43a3backed 9z | 44c | 81.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Imperial | 19c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e0…d131backed 9z | 42c | 62.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked 9z | 61c | 56.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Imperial | 39c | 56.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 49c | 52.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed 9z | 35c | 51.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf78…e566backed 9z | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked 9z | 44c | 44.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 59c | 43.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Imperial | 37c | 38.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Imperial | 46c | 36.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed Imperial | 39c | 35.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Imperial | 56c | 31.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Imperial | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed 9z | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…aa7ebacked Imperial | 37c | 29.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 9z | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed 9z | 78c | 24.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Imperial | 53c | 20.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Imperial | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…fd1dbacked 9z | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed Imperial | 64c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7b…3914backed 9z | 75c | 17.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.