CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ee50a13b0d9eb0fe300c1df8dec0a775934122d4f3bd0b8eb72ed567181766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof 9z, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed 9z | 29c | 2,075$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.08 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 75c | 1,192$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Imperial | 63c | 862.28$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.09 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 54c | 645.07$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked 9z | 68c | 402.61$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.51 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Imperial | 26c | 361.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 9z | 37c | 352$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 9z | 9c | 310$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 9z | 41c | 287.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 63c | 285.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked Imperial | 58c | 257.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Imperial | 34c | 195.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Imperial | 55c | 176.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Imperial | 79c | 135.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial | 60c | 128.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 9z | 47c | 116.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Imperial | 75c | 108.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 9z | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 9z | 33c | 89.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…8a91backed 9z | 56c | 63.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed 9z | 18c | 61.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed 9z | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 9z | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked 9z | 42c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Imperial | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Imperial | 27c | 45.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Imperial | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 9z | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Imperial | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Imperial | 75c | 29.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed 9z | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…ebfdbacked Imperial | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.