Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78daac979e030bbcea569f176cc508201af827c2232c3aeb1eb0b61fd17868b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,574 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,693$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 1,674$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.78 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 47c | 1,152$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.33 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 51c | 485.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 59c | 484.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 261.9$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 247.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 220.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 198.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 69c | 157.06$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 21c | 128.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Over | 21c | 119.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 78c | 114.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 70c | 101.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 56c | 99.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Over | 21c | 89.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Under | 60c | 82.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 77.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 76.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 74.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 74.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 60c | 59.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 60c | 59.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 45c | 56.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…2bb7backed Under | 61c | 53.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…43a3backed Over | 35c | 44.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 35.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Under | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 35.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 45c | 28.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 39c | 26.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Over | 74c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Over | 50c | 25.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 54c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Under | 66c | 16.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 144.5this page
- Liberty Flames vs. George Mason PatriotsLiberty Flames won
- Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: George Mason Patriots (-3.5)Liberty Flames won
- Spread: George Mason Patriots (-4.5)Liberty Flames won
- Spread: George Mason Patriots (-5.5)Liberty Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.