NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99c96ceb93b5bd568d55dc8b8f09a9033817a5512bbf78f865271df9394eada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Wild, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,445 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.43 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 54c | 701.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Rangers | 57c | 575$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rangers | 57c | 396.46$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rangers | 57c | 391$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Wild | 41c | 387.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Rangers | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Wild | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 7c | 199.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Rangers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Rangers | 57c | 164$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Wild | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Wild | 46c | 148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 73c | 120.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Rangers | 57c | 118.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Rangers | 56c | 113.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wild | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…e16abacked Rangers | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Rangers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Wild | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rangers | 56c | 96.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Wild | 23c | 88.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wild | 45c | 66.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Rangers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rangers | 56c | 47.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Wild | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rangers | 56c | 43.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…5dd5backed Rangers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fdc8backed Rangers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Wild | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. WildRangers won
- Rangers vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.