NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e537ab7a02acbcc8ca78ef8332c8f05dad266dc22f2c0958323993fa81ae85b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,209 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26e0…4659backed Under | 54c | 13,500$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,210 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…db6fbacked Over | 46c | 13,500$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 5,989$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 4,894$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.25 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 59c | 3,674$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.29 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 41c | 3,350$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.3 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 61c | 1,338$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.59 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 54c | 1,290$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.26 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 18c | 881.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.25 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 803.11$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.57 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 79c | 677.97$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.05 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 641.01$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.25 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 11c | 558.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.07 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 80c | 398.14$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 15c | 346$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 32c | 283.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Over | 43c | 207.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…fd2dbacked Under | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 116.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 46c | 106.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…6e70backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 77c | 93.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 78c | 89.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…ec4abacked Under | 35c | 82.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 15c | 76.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 66.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 54c | 59.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 77c | 59.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 20c | 50.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.45per pick | 24cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 45c | 43.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 44c | 41.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 78c | 38.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 61c | 38.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…cbb9backed Under | 55c | 38.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 35c | 36.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 59c | 30.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 60c | 29.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 59c | 29.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 53c | 29.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Under | 39c | 27.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 25.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 53c | 25.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Rangers vs. WildRangers won
- Rangers vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.