Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3610d87e2d90314a106897aeb9a7e2fc9c49d4e0a706684b662c36b292ee76c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medjedovicof Medjedovic, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Borges | 55c | 2,989$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.42 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Medjedovic | 42c | 463.43$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.43 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Medjedovic | 47c | 433.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Medjedovic | 45c | 430.52$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Medjedovic | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Medjedovic | 46c | 274.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Borges | 60c | 215.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Medjedovic | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Medjedovic | 43c | 201.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Medjedovic | 40c | 170.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Borges | 59c | 123.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Medjedovic | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Medjedovic | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Borges | 72c | 94.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Medjedovic | 46c | 86.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medjedovic | 40c | 86.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Medjedovic | 41c | 81.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…e891backed Borges | 67c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Medjedovic | 44c | 57.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Medjedovic | 47c | 57.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Medjedovic | 33c | 55.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Medjedovic | 42c | 52.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Borges | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medjedovic | 39c | 40.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Medjedovic | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Borges | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Medjedovic | 45c | 25.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…f8d4backed Borges | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)this page
- Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno BorgesHamad Medjedovic won
- Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs BorgesMedjedovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.