Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x437892e57fc7218b82440ac21baba24acdd91f59669de1e303e3d0af3ea062ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medjedovicof Medjedovic, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Borges | 38c | 663.84$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.26 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Medjedovic | 62c | 507.88$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Borges | 54c | 435.45$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ebe4backed Medjedovic | 58c | 370.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Medjedovic | 55c | 223.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Borges | 45c | 178.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Medjedovic | 62c | 140.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Borges | 42c | 137.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Borges | 69c | 113.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Medjedovic | 39c | 112.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Borges | 42c | 82.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Borges | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Medjedovic | 54c | 55.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Medjedovic | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Borges | 42c | 52.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Borges | 42c | 51.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Medjedovic | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Borges | 38c | 34.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Borges | 42c | 34.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Medjedovic | 66c | 33.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Medjedovic | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Medjedovic | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medjedovic | 60c | 20.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Medjedovic | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs Borgesthis page
- Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno BorgesHamad Medjedovic won
- Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Medjedovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.