Tennis · resolved market
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Blake Ellis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcdd2eecf67d52b3b11f77387112a5f0c948848b21fdf2ba53d2d351ad0e5ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Li Tuof Li Tu, Blake Ellis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blake Ellis | 26c | 11,779$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.8 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blake Ellis | 14c | 6,380$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Li Tu | 69c | 4,322$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.14 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Blake Ellis | 23c | 3,853$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.25 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Li Tu | 73c | 2,915$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Blake Ellis | 7c | 2,588$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Li Tu | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.95 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Li Tu | 67c | 2,365$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.31 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed Li Tu | 67c | 1,536$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Blake Ellis | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Blake Ellis | 24c | 1,255$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.15 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…7994backed Blake Ellis | 15c | 1,241$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Blake Ellis | 24c | 1,200$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Li Tu | 78c | 1,090$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Li Tu | 66c | 994.29$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Blake Ellis | 6c | 966.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Blake Ellis | 36c | 896.14$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.05 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Blake Ellis | 1c | 836.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Blake Ellis | 1c | 835.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Blake Ellis | 24c | 799.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.12 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Li Tu | 65c | 799.19$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Li Tu | 65c | 641.91$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Blake Ellis | 21c | 635.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Li Tu | 80c | 520.53$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Li Tu | 74c | 490.76$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Blake Ellis | 3c | 470.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Blake Ellis | 6c | 430.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…38c8backed Blake Ellis | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Blake Ellis | 39c | 357.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Blake Ellis | 22c | 330.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Li Tu | 63c | 307.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Li Tu | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Li Tu | 67c | 287.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Blake Ellis | 34c | 284.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Blake Ellis | 7c | 283.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Blake Ellis | 26c | 260.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Blake Ellis | 33c | 226.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Blake Ellis | 36c | 214.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Blake Ellis | 37c | 211.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Li Tu | 69c | 207.56$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Blake Ellis | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Blake Ellis | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…492fbacked Blake Ellis | 19c | 195.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Blake Ellis | 17c | 195.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Li Tu | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Li Tu | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Blake Ellis | 35c | 147.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Li Tu | 76c | 132.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Blake Ellis | 38c | 123.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Blake Ellis | 37c | 115.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Blake Ellis | 32c | 114.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Li Tu | 78c | 111.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Blake Ellis | 40c | 109.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Blake Ellis | 40c | 109.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Li Tu | 64c | 108.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Blake Ellis | 40c | 108.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blake Ellis | 27c | 103.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Li Tu | 67c | 102.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Blake Ellis | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Li Tu | 78c | 99.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Li Tu | 68c | 98.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Blake Ellis | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Blake Ellis | 33c | 94.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Blake Ellis | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Blake Ellis | 18c | 90.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Li Tu | 78c | 88.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Blake Ellis | 33c | 85.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Li Tu | 66c | 83.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…fee5backed Blake Ellis | 16c | 82.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Li Tu | 68c | 79.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Li Tu | 75c | 78.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Li Tu | 74c | 78.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Li Tu | 68c | 77.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…0c25backed Blake Ellis | 35c | 77.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Blake Ellis | 37c | 77.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Blake Ellis | 28c | 75.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Li Tu | 66c | 74.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Li Tu | 66c | 71.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Blake Ellis | 24c | 70.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Li Tu | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…57c7backed Blake Ellis | 20c | 66.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Li Tu | 62c | 61.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…45c7backed Li Tu | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Li Tu | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Li Tu | 78c | 59.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Li Tu | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Blake Ellis | 33c | 57.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Li Tu | 67c | 54.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…e891backed Li Tu | 74c | 53.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Li Tu | 80c | 52.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Li Tu | 63c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 150 | 58.7%88 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Li Tu | 66c | 45.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Li Tu | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Blake Ellis | 25c | 42.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Blake Ellis | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed Li Tu | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Li Tu | 67c | 38.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Li Tu | 67c | 37.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Li Tu | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Li Tu | 77c | 36.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 95 | 27.4%26 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Blake Ellisthis page
- Li Tu vs. Blake Ellis: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Tu vs EllisTu won
- Tu vs. Ellis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.