Tennis · resolved market
Cobolli vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7002f1de60d15fe67c2fe06bdc595b0d41a05087c0e7b0a43dd03a8835727e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 52c | 6,085$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.39 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 48c | 2,995$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 48c | 848.52$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.23 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 53c | 617.3$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.51 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 48c | 363.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 52c | 283.62$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 193.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 52c | 185.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 145.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 136.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 48c | 88.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 80.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Over | 26c | 75.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87e…606dbacked Over | 53c | 74.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Under | 74c | 53.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Over | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Under | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 48c | 28.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 47c | 28.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 23.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 74c | 21.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cobolli vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5this page
- BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou BergsFlavio Cobolli won
- Cobolli vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs BergsCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.