Tennis · resolved market
Cobolli vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba912459527fafcac5263efb83be5ef011eccc171a2b354795afa0a39c43891f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 836.26$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.83 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Over | 60c | 728.4$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.25 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 551.64$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 39c | 311.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 58c | 305.12$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Over | 60c | 272.04$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Over | 61c | 246.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…aaaebacked Over | 60c | 178.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 39c | 140.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Under | 46c | 89.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 87.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Over | 26c | 78.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Under | 74c | 77.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 67.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 54c | 51.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 51.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 60c | 22.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Over | 60c | 21.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cobolli vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5this page
- BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou BergsFlavio Cobolli won
- Cobolli vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs BergsCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.