MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool A: Canada vs. Panama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9053a0834335e2a4224d81314982065a1d456aa919ca6e48da58b2ee000a3ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panamaof Canada, Panama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,372 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Canada | 54c | 6,863$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.36 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Canada | 63c | 3,804$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.13 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…45c5backed Panama | 60c | 2,465$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Panama | 48c | 1,922$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.73 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Canada | 74c | 1,633$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.45 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Panama | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panama | 27c | 1,473$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.18 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Panama | 37c | 1,359$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.91 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Panama | 37c | 1,236$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.95 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Panama | 36c | 1,063$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.88 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Panama | 38c | 1,006$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.83 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Panama | 9c | 999.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.28 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Panama | 41c | 947$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.12 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Panama | 13c | 936.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panama | 45c | 866.14$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.38 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Panama | 13c | 860.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canada | 49c | 808.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panama | 11c | 766.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Panama | 33c | 658.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Canada | 30c | 591.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panama | 12c | 511.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.61 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Canada | 73c | 506.68$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panama | 69c | 506$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Panama | 38c | 483.68$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…0b05backed Canada | 37c | 459.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…63d5backed Panama | 72c | 450.45$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Canada | 46c | 443.17$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.72 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panama | 40c | 368.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Canada | 29c | 339$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Panama | 72c | 326$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…8113backed Panama | 74c | 324.24$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Canada | 31c | 321.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Canada | 52c | 320.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Panama | 62c | 318.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Canada | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked Canada | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Panama | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…402cbacked Panama | 75c | 293.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Canada | 59c | 291.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Panama | 45c | 280.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Canada | 61c | 274.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Panama | 75c | 267.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Panama | 18c | 263.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.92 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Panama | 13c | 254.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panama | 12c | 254$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Panama | 11c | 251.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.97 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…e5a7backed Panama | 20c | 249.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb908…d807backed Panama | 78c | 227.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c626backed Panama | 73c | 227.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Panama | 13c | 214.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Canada | 61c | 181.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Panama | 13c | 180.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Panama | 6c | 180$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +476.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Panama | 59c | 178$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Canada | 48c | 172.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Canada | 44c | 165.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…1438backed Panama | 13c | 153.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canada | 35c | 152.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canada | 62c | 142.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Canada | 29c | 142.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Panama | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Panama | 19c | 139.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canada | 64c | 139.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Panama | 53c | 131.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…8cfdbacked Canada | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Panama | 11c | 119$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canada | 45c | 106.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…17e9backed Canada | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Panama | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Panama | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Panama | 68c | 95.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Canada | 53c | 95.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…769ebacked Panama | 67c | 89.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked Canada | 14c | 82.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…c3cabacked Panama | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…f50ebacked Canada | 29c | 56.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…51bcbacked Canada | 49c | 55.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…0dc3backed Canada | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panama | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Canada | 41c | 48.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…6940backed Canada | 30c | 46.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…8671backed Panama | 66c | 44.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Canada | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Canada | 64c | 36.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Canada | 54c | 36.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a9…a919backed Panama | 65c | 33.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Canada | 64c | 29.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Canada | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Canada | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…771cbacked Panama | 72c | 22.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Panama | 72c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.