Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9e7f6568a8b26052cb9e33dfd3eba9b5bdec47bd0ace6f676900d596d73368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Cincinnati Bearcats, Houston Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 4,420$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 3,149$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.92 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 6c | 3,135$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 2,042$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 7c | 1,494$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 7c | 1,452$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 7c | 1,411$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 1,281$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 7c | 637.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 616.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 421.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 291.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 9c | 249.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 5c | 245.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 206.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 182$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 157.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 10c | 144$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougarsthis page
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 134.5Under won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 135.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-14.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.