Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Cougars (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c1385d3b24cfec00d43b9f571a90e36edf91fffb0c3583c2df00f5a86fbc10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Cincinnati Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 54c | 9,410$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.52 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Houston Cougars | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.84 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 5,688$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 5,472$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Cougars | 46c | 2,608$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.32 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 49c | 603.86$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 523.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 406.25$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 295.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 48c | 173.87$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Houston Cougars | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 100.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 60.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-14.5)this page
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 134.5Under won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 135.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.