Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf54f1eb77f97402d41320964c60c4e3588f29fcfd490a31e8602125a0da3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 46c | 1,999$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.66 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 44c | 1,317$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.47 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 910.55$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 28c | 772.75$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.92 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 51c | 646.94$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 41c | 486.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.25 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 47c | 400.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Yes | 25c | 396.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 292.64$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 55c | 267.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed No | 39c | 261.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 244.7$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 213.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 54c | 201$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes | 52c | 170.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 164.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 20c | 140.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 72c | 138.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 29c | 104.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 79c | 96.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 61.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 59.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 46c | 57.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 45c | 55.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 72c | 52.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Yes | 51c | 38.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed No | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Yes | 50c | 36.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 79c | 31.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 50c | 30.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 39c | 27.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 54c | 25.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 50c | 22.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 53c | 21.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 56c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 18.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.