Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7ad71d9944343c5f87b51fe2484f89c0c9508435c79e4f6983cb618b95acce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 2,487$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,461$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 63c | 818$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.61 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 769.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 77c | 581.77$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 33c | 568.18$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 44c | 517$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 22c | 430.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 385.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 41c | 364.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed No | 65c | 305.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 67c | 300.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 15c | 273$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 38c | 264.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 70c | 230.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 78c | 226$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 197.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 187$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 13c | 167.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 159.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 72c | 155.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 70c | 145.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 34c | 142.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 19c | 117.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 24c | 110.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 88.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 85.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 82.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed No | 75c | 69.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 29c | 68.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 68.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 72c | 63.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 18c | 59.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 56.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 44c | 54.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 29c | 49.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 60c | 39.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 38c | 28.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.