Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2238da8b647a5fa579969c85e975871969923363b5eb17b85845190746729582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 45c | 1,352$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.04 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 27c | 580.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 523.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.72 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 76c | 416.44$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 49c | 394.02$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 36c | 386.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 46c | 357.86$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked No | 11c | 343.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 285.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 278.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 55c | 222.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 196.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 76c | 185.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 73c | 178.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 74c | 146.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 32c | 135.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 135$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 57c | 128.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 79c | 127$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 107.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 101.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 31c | 95.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 61c | 94.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed No | 22c | 92.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 27c | 91.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 44c | 81.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 20c | 77.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 28c | 76.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 66.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed No | 30c | 64.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…e153backed Yes | 47c | 52.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 26c | 49.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 61c | 49.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed No | 41c | 48.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 43.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 66c | 40.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 39c | 40.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 46c | 39.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 33.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 75c | 31.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 30.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed No | 46c | 30.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 74c | 26.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 74c | 25.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 66c | 24.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 23.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.