Asian League · resolved market
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacddde5a13a39eb83bc6a3f3c70233f485c85a9fdb4ee1e81a63cbfb6aff9ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 6,485$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 52c | 5,764$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 4,400$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.34 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 1,595$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.68 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 43c | 953.49$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 674.11$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…8521backed No | 56c | 502.44$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 55c | 468.66$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 253.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 44c | 226.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 45c | 190$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 143.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 43c | 134.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 45c | 126.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 56c | 123.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 46c | 123.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 53c | 120.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed No | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 109.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 46c | 103.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 46c | 97.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…a873backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 55c | 91.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 59c | 83.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Yes | 50c | 74.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 50c | 62.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 45c | 60.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 43c | 59.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0338backed Yes | 53c | 55.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 55c | 50.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 49.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Yes | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 44c | 47.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 25c | 43.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 33.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 49c | 31.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 60c | 27.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 54c | 27.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…13acbacked Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 57c | 26.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 50c | 26.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 42c | 26.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…a32bbacked Yes | 54c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 61c | 25.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 58c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 47c | 23.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Yes | 54c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 52c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?No won
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.