Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Martin Damm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28240952dd82e5e5464b6d64c3ef9d770f541f627da83968395a6191eba66d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Carreno Bustaof Pablo Carreno Busta, Martin Damm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 36,106$25,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,846.12 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 11,792$7,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.03 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Martin Damm | 30c | 10,501$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.74 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Martin Damm | 20c | 7,857$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.47 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Martin Damm | 45c | 7,551$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.73 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Martin Damm | 12c | 7,501$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Martin Damm | 0c | 7,356$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Martin Damm | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Martin Damm | 30c | 5,243$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Martin Damm | 30c | 4,598$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.25 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Martin Damm | 30c | 4,055$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.49 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Martin Damm | 26c | 3,768$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.17 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 2,825$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.42 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 2,234$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.51 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martin Damm | 30c | 2,045$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.02 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Martin Damm | 37c | 1,603$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.29 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 68c | 1,476$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.13 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Martin Damm | 40c | 1,391$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.85 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 1,375$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Martin Damm | 33c | 1,312$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Martin Damm | 33c | 908.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Martin Damm | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Martin Damm | 34c | 728.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 656.3$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 80c | 625$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Martin Damm | 30c | 607.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Martin Damm | 31c | 594.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Martin Damm | 30c | 586.3$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Martin Damm | 41c | 511.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Martin Damm | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Martin Damm | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Martin Damm | 27c | 500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Martin Damm | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Martin Damm | 8c | 496.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Martin Damm | 40c | 440.44$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…fe45backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Martin Damm | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Martin Damm | 33c | 369$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…9997backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 314.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 300.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…3fedbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 287.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 93 | 67.7%63 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Martin Damm | 17c | 278.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…f016backed Martin Damm | 14c | 234.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Martin Damm | 30c | 229$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 222.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 219.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Martin Damm | 12c | 203.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martin Damm | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Martin Damm | 30c | 164.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Martin Damm | 31c | 159.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Martin Damm | 39c | 157.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Martin Damm | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Martin Damm | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Martin Damm | 30c | 153$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Martin Damm | 41c | 152.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Martin Damm | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Martin Damm | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…0477backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 148.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed Martin Damm | 36c | 137.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 108 | 25.9%28 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Martin Damm | 20c | 136.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Martin Damm | 38c | 132.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Martin Damm | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Martin Damm | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 123.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Martin Damm | 30c | 122.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Martin Damm | 9c | 109.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…9cc9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Martin Damm | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 96.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Martin Damm | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Martin Damm | 32c | 82.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Martin Damm | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 78.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Martin Damm | 33c | 75.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 71.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Martin Damm | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Martin Damm | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Martin Damm | 30c | 65.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Martin Damm | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Martin Damm | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Martin Damm | 31c | 56.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Martin Damm | 32c | 55.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Martin Damm | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 40.4%55 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 60c | 50.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 66c | 50.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Martin Damm | 33c | 49.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…cca1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 67c | 44.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…1d31backed Martin Damm | 38c | 44.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 179 | 62.6%112 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Martin Damm | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 127 | 34.6%44 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 70c | 31.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Martin Dammthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Busta vs DammBusta won
- Set Handicap: Busta (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)Busta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.