Champions League · resolved market
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87aaeb71fd25a403e53f7545053f38529963d6836519f20680aec3f8416a1af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 3,803$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.12 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 39c | 3,658$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…0e48backed Yes | 32c | 3,126$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 69c | 1,701$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.45 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6241backed Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 16c | 1,124$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 328 | 47.9%157 W · 171 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 737.5$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 344 | 45.1%155 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 694.3$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 670.53$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.65 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 605$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.65 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 3c | 358.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 329.82$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 74c | 309.61$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 100 | 21%21 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 25c | 196.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 26c | 164$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…602fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 97.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 90.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 72.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…78e1backed No | 57c | 61.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +124%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 53.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 29c | 34.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…4739backed No | 75c | 33.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 74c | 27.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF end in a draw?this page
- Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-11?No won
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.