Champions League · resolved market
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ed7fd9d6c939e1d3f9b795dc7254711903554a903e411d8e0f899310c39588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 4,358$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.12 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 4,335$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.81 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 2,388$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.64 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,076$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.81 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 1,465$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.66 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,068$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.35 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 79c | 1,010$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 28c | 693.76$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked No | 78c | 652.48$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 626.72$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 21c | 549.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 22c | 522.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 475.32$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 344 | 45.1%155 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes | 22c | 447.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 23c | 338$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 292$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 23c | 249.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 15c | 226.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 225.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 21c | 156.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 11c | 141.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…a4a0backed Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 79c | 94.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 13c | 88.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 78.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 72.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 328 | 47.9%157 W · 171 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 78c | 58.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 48.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 77c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 77c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 40.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 79c | 28.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 77c | 27.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked No | 77c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 77c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 78c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 77c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-11?this page
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF end in a draw?No won
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.