Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92589fe35b32bdcb7a0c66c267209b62a58c51466a7e92387b10a5f63df53021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.37 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 71c | 850$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 61c | 800$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.72 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 41c | 758$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.51 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 26c | 438.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 341.69$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.85 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 340.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 320.85$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 4c | 290.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Yes | 30c | 254$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 68c | 194$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 32c | 194$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 169.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 123.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 18c | 78.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 31c | 76.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 72.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 37c | 38.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 59c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 79c | 22.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 63c | 20.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.