Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d7a95101d304b5a7eb296649df3ef655dc0aa47e841c7be66d837167cf176d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 46c | 2,061$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.87 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,729$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 1,043$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.85 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 50c | 952.77$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.59 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 942.75$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 738$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.65 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 78c | 595.6$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 516.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 41c | 454.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 35c | 454.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 259.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 59c | 246$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Yes | 78c | 215.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 67c | 167.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 52c | 161$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 147$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Yes | 52c | 144.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 46c | 141.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 32c | 137.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 54c | 127.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 126$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 66c | 118.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 30c | 109.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 58c | 106.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 52c | 94.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 69c | 94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 25c | 93.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 54c | 90.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 65c | 83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 59c | 78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 51c | 76.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 69c | 74.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 48c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 33c | 71.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 62c | 64.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 18c | 62.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 54c | 60.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…f62abacked No | 33c | 53.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 51.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 42c | 41.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 67c | 40.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 33.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 51c | 30.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 49c | 29.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 47c | 26.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 58c | 26.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 53c | 25.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 47c | 25.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 25.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.