Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea247541dbca4fa4ac4aa18930a68f81e6e9dc24aa318992f943cc8c90d3d10b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 24c | 4,316$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.1 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 3,910$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 66c | 3,726$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 29c | 1,509$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.66 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 69c | 1,323$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.98 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 32c | 1,220$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed No | 35c | 1,136$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 33c | 1,127$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.83 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,010$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 71c | 1,004$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 33c | 879.61$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.27 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 67c | 363.37$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed No | 18c | 272.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 67c | 236.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 214.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 67c | 210.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 71c | 204.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 35c | 184.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 35c | 161$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 35c | 132.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 17c | 106.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 105.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 17c | 96.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 35c | 94.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 72c | 93.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 35c | 93.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 68c | 57.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 69c | 50.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 67c | 49.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 39c | 32.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed Yes | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 70c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 68c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 71c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Yes | 70c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Yes | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.