TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under56c144,488$80,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,019.61,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over44c65,312$28,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,737.483354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over45c44,628$20,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,082.5110157.4%58 W · 43 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over44c19,820$8,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7214,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over44c14,059$6,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,185.9692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over45c11,688$5,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,259.392748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over45c11,292$5,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,081.2932251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under56c10,183$5,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,513.361,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c10,024$5,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.1211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Over44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.998950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under55c8,967$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,009.892,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over1c7,043$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.778,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Under57c6,742$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.917951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c5,935$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.734,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c5,478$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.796,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over43c3,840$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.011,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c3,803$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.562,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under56c2,684$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.9911540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over44c2,376$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.2477647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under55c1,621$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.453,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c1,515$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.346,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b38…1dccbacked Over44c1,420$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Over44c1,418$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6245350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over45c1,386$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Under56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2928152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over44c1,103$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.6851545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,085$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.168053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Under57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.636858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c1,026$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.381,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over43c999.98$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9916848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under55c822$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.92,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over45c805.8$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.612,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.55,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Under56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33018658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Over43c705.86$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.529831.6%31 W · 67 L-13.1wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over44c679.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4773849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Under55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3622257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c597.42$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8745748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Under56c540$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.69950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under55c426$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.732850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over44c414$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1654642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over46c402.88$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3213054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over44c340.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over46c291$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.861,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Under57c265$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9523052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…9351backed Under57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.168256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Under57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1619454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Under56c239.14$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.22683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c234.89$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.053,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018154.7%99 W · 82 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over43c195$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.381,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over31c190.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.995,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Over44c179$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.763348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a45…92c4backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c153.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.542,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under55c149.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under59c137.97$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7174657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over33c137.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.753,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over44c136.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32e2…af02backed Under57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5813850.7%70 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under71c129.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.811,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7358…15c7backed Over45c125.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Under56c112.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4918855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over45c112.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0629250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over46c111.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.112,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under58c108.6$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.982,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Over45c105.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.287243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc138…e79dbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over44c97.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.731,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under56c96.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.371,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over33c96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.688,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over44c93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.922,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7217557.1%100 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7222257.7%128 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over45c82.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1617047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over44c74.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.842626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over44c73.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4556253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ac…7636backed Over35c73.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.73435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over46c72.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3840447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Under56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4321954.8%120 W · 99 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Over45c71.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ebd…7fd4backed Over43c60.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.724141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.967742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7884…1fb0backed Under57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.657659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under54c54.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9531258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7815…7310backed Under76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.633262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x757c…d1bfbacked Over44c52.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under68c51.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.415,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over35c49.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under65c49.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.256552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d57…8e0cbacked Over46c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.445442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.