MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c82d84f5f331a96504f9c0bb6b13f6575476864f2e3b2390d147d6147f6b6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 144,488$80,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,019.6 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Over | 44c | 65,312$28,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,737.48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 45c | 44,628$20,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,082.51 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 19,820$8,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,721 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 44c | 14,059$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185.96 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 45c | 11,688$5,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,259.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 45c | 11,292$5,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,081.29 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 10,183$5,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.36 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 10,024$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Over | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 55c | 8,967$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.89 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 7,043$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 57c | 6,742$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.9 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 5,935$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 5,478$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 3,840$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.01 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 3,803$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 56c | 2,684$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.99 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 44c | 2,376$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.24 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 55c | 1,621$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.45 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 1,515$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Over | 44c | 1,420$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 44c | 1,418$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 1,386$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.1 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 44c | 1,103$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.68 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 1,026$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.38 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 55c | 822$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 45c | 805.8$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Over | 43c | 705.86$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 44c | 679.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.47 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Under | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 44c | 597.42$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.87 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Under | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 55c | 426$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 414$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 46c | 402.88$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.32 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 44c | 340.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 291$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 57c | 265$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Under | 56c | 239.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 234.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 195$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 31c | 190.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Over | 44c | 179$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…92c4backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 153.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 137.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 33c | 137.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 136.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Under | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 71c | 129.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…15c7backed Over | 45c | 125.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 56c | 112.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 45c | 112.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 111.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 58c | 108.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 45c | 105.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…e79dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 97.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 56c | 96.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 33c | 96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 44c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 45c | 82.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Over | 44c | 74.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 73.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 35c | 73.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 46c | 72.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Over | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…7fd4backed Over | 43c | 60.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…1fb0backed Under | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 54.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…7310backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Over | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 35c | 49.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 65c | 49.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Over | 46c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.