MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb4123f412dd7a634ccdf353be512473d1bba12f8b966e7f6885f741191b3f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 69c | 1,937$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.25 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 80c | 1,535$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked New York Yankees | 75c | 1,105$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 1,075$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 974$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 924$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 742.03$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.67 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 641.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 599$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed New York Yankees | 61c | 313.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed New York Yankees | 73c | 304.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees | 60c | 285$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 147.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 146.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 7c | 146$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 77c | 142.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed New York Yankees | 70c | 142.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 132.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 105.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked New York Yankees | 65c | 92.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 72c | 88.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 76c | 88.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 85.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Yankees | 60c | 85.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 62.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked New York Yankees | 71c | 58.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 50.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed New York Yankees | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed New York Yankees | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 39.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked New York Yankees | 68c | 39.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 37.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 36.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed New York Yankees | 61c | 34.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 34.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1140…da5fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 29.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 26.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed New York Yankees | 74c | 24.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed New York Yankees | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees | 78c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.