MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e35830e1da39f2df2fbbdfb681cf6f11c71ef06ba59bdd7d05ee058985391b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Kia Tigers, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 2,745$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked LG Twins | 58c | 2,603$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.44 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed LG Twins | 59c | 1,500$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 720$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.59 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 59c | 464.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 402.55$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed LG Twins | 56c | 341.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed LG Twins | 58c | 259.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 244.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked LG Twins | 58c | 225.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 222.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 210.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 20c | 199.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 59c | 180.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked LG Twins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Kia Tigers | 25c | 140.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 135.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…60febacked LG Twins | 61c | 131.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed LG Twins | 64c | 122.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 78c | 119.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 19c | 119.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 100.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed LG Twins | 75c | 97.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…2000backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 94.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 85.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 21c | 80.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…1ae3backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 79.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 68.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 64.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Kia Tigers | 22c | 60.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 52.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 52.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 47.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked LG Twins | 59c | 38.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 36.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed LG Twins | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 33.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…bc2dbacked LG Twins | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked LG Twins | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked LG Twins | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked LG Twins | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked LG Twins | 79c | 19.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed LG Twins | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.