Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Somerset
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x209b557a8d300d8148ef9bdf8d5977154f5020b744c11c3a9b2e80bca440441d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Glamorganof Glamorgan, Somerset
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Somerset | 46c | 8,720$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.79 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Glamorgan | 57c | 6,925$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.49 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Somerset | 45c | 6,322$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.33 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Glamorgan | 55c | 3,642$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.29 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Glamorgan | 59c | 1,513$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.98 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Glamorgan | 31c | 1,500$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.25 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Glamorgan | 49c | 1,439$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.01 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Somerset | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Somerset | 40c | 1,000$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Glamorgan | 52c | 662.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.94 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Glamorgan | 37c | 592.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.54 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Somerset | 45c | 506$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.73 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Glamorgan | 56c | 500$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Somerset | 39c | 425.45$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Glamorgan | 40c | 344.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Somerset | 45c | 328.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Somerset | 54c | 314.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Somerset | 50c | 278.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Glamorgan | 38c | 246.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.15 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Somerset | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Glamorgan | 62c | 187.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Somerset | 67c | 186$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Glamorgan | 38c | 175$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Somerset | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…0de7backed Somerset | 62c | 142.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Somerset | 47c | 136.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Glamorgan | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Glamorgan | 79c | 126.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Somerset | 61c | 123.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Glamorgan | 63c | 118$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Somerset | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Glamorgan | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Glamorgan | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Glamorgan | 55c | 78.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Glamorgan | 30c | 67.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 113 | 6.2%7 W · 106 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Somerset | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…a7c1backed Glamorgan | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Somerset | 61c | 42.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Glamorgan | 38c | 42.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…77f0backed Somerset | 31c | 41.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…cf1abacked Somerset | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…ef73backed Somerset | 52c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Glamorgan | 39c | 38.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Glamorgan | 75c | 35.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…426dbacked Glamorgan | 37c | 31.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed Glamorgan | 56c | 31.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Somerset | 53c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…b847backed Somerset | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Somerset | 63c | 19.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.