Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d7979707541694c2016a94396af893066bcc21594a3f454972cdc1359d79796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 15c | 332.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 31c | 322.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5aa6backed No | 65c | 183.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 52c | 181.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…ba69backed Yes | 22c | 179.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 17.7%28 W · 130 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…1a08backed Yes | 11c | 173.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 27c | 155.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…622dbacked No | 49c | 151.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 65cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f4…be6dbacked Yes | 37c | 141.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 71c | 141.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…d802backed Yes | 35c | 128.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 127.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 112$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 102.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…031dbacked Yes | 26c | 96.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 41c | 87.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 51c | 85.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 49c | 73.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…98c0backed Yes | 26c | 56.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 35c | 49.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 29c | 47.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 63c | 43.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Yes | 35c | 42.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 47c | 40.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 75c | 40.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed No | 47c | 40.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 64c | 37.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 55c | 30.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…67d7backed Yes | 53c | 21.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 78c | 16.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.