Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431369105ba82f9f326ef68029d6f34733e40a56be431a07384e75cac7b4c1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe13…8b9cbacked Yes | 64c | 427.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 27c | 363.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5aa6backed Yes | 25c | 342.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…ba69backed Yes | 23c | 209.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 158 | 17.7%28 W · 130 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 64c | 194.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 180.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 31c | 162.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 127.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 33c | 122.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…412bbacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 39c | 111.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 18c | 101.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Yes | 37c | 95.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 95.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 27c | 94.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 40c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 54c | 68.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 38c | 62.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 62c | 60.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…76e3backed Yes | 39c | 51.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 27c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 76c | 49.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 39c | 46.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 45.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 48c | 43.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 34c | 42.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…031dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…9b4ebacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…c517backed No | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.