MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a5d1607b602c814ce3fbbf9f8bb38b3ffb74217cadbce714328770085d7f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 21c | 758.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed NC Dinos | 74c | 664.33$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked NC Dinos | 75c | 657.04$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 543.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 352.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Kiwoom Heroes | 7c | 351.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked NC Dinos | 73c | 268.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 69c | 190.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 71c | 161.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 112.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 112.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 79c | 106.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 18c | 74.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5eb…efc5backed NC Dinos | 75c | 71.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 69.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed NC Dinos | 73c | 68.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 67.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked NC Dinos | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…e1bebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 67.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…9d15backed NC Dinos | 74c | 64.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked NC Dinos | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…251bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 60.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 57.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 56.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed NC Dinos | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed NC Dinos | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked NC Dinos | 73c | 24.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed NC Dinos | 73c | 24.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked NC Dinos | 73c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked NC Dinos | 73c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.