Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdbb4deb78276e0dd9144865d05b41fb047f1f6a17af06bb734b8e02613c50ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof Indonesia, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Indonesia | 11c | 1,984$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.29 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sweden | 80c | 1,432$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.96 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sweden | 77c | 891.9$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Indonesia | 48c | 813.18$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Indonesia | 23c | 611.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Indonesia | 6c | 489.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Indonesia | 12c | 473$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indonesia | 45c | 425.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sweden | 73c | 410.78$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Indonesia | 14c | 366.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sweden | 78c | 361.48$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Indonesia | 29c | 340.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…9dfebacked Indonesia | 8c | 198.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Indonesia | 43c | 192.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Indonesia | 13c | 172.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sweden | 69c | 160.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Sweden | 56c | 147.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Indonesia | 36c | 120.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Indonesia | 30c | 90.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…b02ebacked Sweden | 60c | 65.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Indonesia | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…85b1backed Sweden | 55c | 44.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Sweden | 64c | 31.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Sweden | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Sweden | 66c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70b…c542backed Sweden | 63c | 28.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Sweden | 47c | 27.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Sweden | 55c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…6ca9backed Indonesia | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sweden | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Sweden | 54c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.