NHL · resolved market
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e3fae5a3ea62cb7ec107c3d8ef10c0c0ef8f55cb49f243adb64d097750bc06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Yes | 51c | 195.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 49c | 188.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 106.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked Yes | 48c | 93.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…ff90backed No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…6ac0backed Yes | 48c | 78.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0799backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa552…3306backed Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 49c | 38.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…4ee9backed Yes | 47c | 28.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?this page
- Will Alberts Smits be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Alexander Command be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Chase Reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Gavin McKenna be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes won
- Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Maddox Dagenais be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Marcus Nordmark be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Ryan Lin be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Tommy Bleyl be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Viggo Björck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will William Hakansson be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
- Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.