CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d2a8b907b66c460314e6795c54f702802348ce74b402853ad8aae6ffa1eb95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Tricked | 62c | 2,383$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.16 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Tricked | 40c | 1,777$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.33 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 1,325$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.48 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tricked | 56c | 982.01$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.93 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tricked | 68c | 774.88$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 743.24$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 440.64$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 299.62$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Tricked | 62c | 295.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 239.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 219.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9f99backed Tricked | 74c | 167.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Tricked | 44c | 163.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 145.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 144.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Tricked | 78c | 133.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Johnny Speeds | 62c | 98.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Johnny Speeds | 30c | 68.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 55.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Tricked | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…8fbfbacked Johnny Speeds | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 45.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Tricked | 60c | 43.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 40.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…ef6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 62c | 39.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tricked | 48c | 39.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 38.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…3624backed Johnny Speeds | 65c | 30.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…d300backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 29.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…5211backed Johnny Speeds | 62c | 23.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Johnny Speeds | 65c | 22.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Tricked | 67c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group StageTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.