Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf135c81f65802716d57a759f3248de264a54874f7c896406d1a387ea3d71bbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f6a…eb61backed Yes | 53c | 1,187$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.98 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 25c | 724.04$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 27c | 520.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…8a18backed Yes | 73c | 506.84$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 395.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 40c | 340.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 48c | 297.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 294$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 22c | 290.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 40c | 277.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 72c | 275.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 66c | 245.81$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 45c | 228.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 13c | 222.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 210.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 202.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 14c | 184.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 25c | 177.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 38c | 162.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c28…66b0backed Yes | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…4c1bbacked No | 55c | 154.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 55c | 152.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 8c | 140.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 130.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 60c | 123.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 41c | 116.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 66c | 113.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 22c | 108.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 47c | 104.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 299 | 48.2%144 W · 155 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 43c | 102.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 53c | 95.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 50c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 90.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 49c | 89.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 60c | 88.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 69c | 86.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 24c | 74.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 22c | 65.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 23c | 58.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 24c | 56.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 33c | 51.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 41c | 51.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 26c | 50.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…d7c1backed Yes | 79c | 49.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 45c | 47.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…3e30backed Yes | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -14.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed Yes | 44c | 40.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 28c | 39.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 78c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 40c | 36.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed Yes | 42c | 36.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 44c | 35.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…270cbacked Yes | 80c | 35.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 55c | 35.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 34.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 44c | 33.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 45c | 33.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 45c | 33.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 47c | 32.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Yes | 67c | 31.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…a7dabacked Yes | 80c | 30.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked Yes | 70c | 28.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 77c | 25.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 185 | 55.7%103 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 60c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 67c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Yes | 70c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…88c9backed Yes | 80c | 15.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.