Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5fc35118f586c00393bee07aee44accb5344e6a74f3c7be2e8f0d2e4a4c1e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Academyof Fire Flux Esports, FUT Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Academy | 62c | 2,228$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.02 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 491.14$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 5c | 473$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Academy | 67c | 419.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 311.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 243.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Fire Flux Esports | 19c | 177.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 143.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Academy | 74c | 128$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FUT Academy | 60c | 121.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 114.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 91.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 89.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked FUT Academy | 65c | 38.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 35.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FUT Academy | 64c | 26.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed FUT Academy | 60c | 23.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9258backed FUT Academy | 58c | 21.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…6584backed FUT Academy | 69c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FUT.A (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)FUT Academy won
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group BFUT Academy won
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 2 WinnerFUT Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.