Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7e649595ea54b89d603a04867d69eff14966eca3eeed988960dbeb894c3d9b3

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FUT Academyof Fire Flux Esports, FUT Academy
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,011 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Fire Flux Esports	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.98	781	62%484 W · 297 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed FUT Academy	64c	1,677$1,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.71	234	47%110 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FUT Academy	70c	1,609$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.92	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Fire Flux Esports	30c	1,520$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.88	173	53.8%93 W · 80 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Fire Flux Esports	36c	1,500$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Fire Flux Esports	26c	1,405$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.01	301	47.2%142 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FUT Academy	65c	1,133$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.72	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Academy	70c	1,024$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.08	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked FUT Academy	68c	980.75$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed FUT Academy	64c	978.4$626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.23	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd037…5ea2backed FUT Academy	64c	938.81$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.1	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Fire Flux Esports	30c	723.09$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.93	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked FUT Academy	70c	682.53$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.76	145	33.8%49 W · 96 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fire Flux Esports	25c	678.97$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.82	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Fire Flux Esports	36c	567.3$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.64	297	33.3%99 W · 198 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FUT Academy	73c	559.05$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.06	324	62.7%203 W · 121 L	+31.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed FUT Academy	64c	559.03$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.25	415	37.1%154 W · 261 L	-26.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Fire Flux Esports	36c	541.01$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.76	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed FUT Academy	63c	499.97$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.99	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Fire Flux Esports	23c	342.04$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.94	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Fire Flux Esports	30c	319.17$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.75	187	35.3%66 W · 121 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Fire Flux Esports	19c	304.66$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.93	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Academy	72c	301.19$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.87	242	50.4%122 W · 120 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Fire Flux Esports	36c	300$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-4.5wins	-0.21per pick	34cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Fire Flux Esports	37c	295.13$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fire Flux Esports	25c	259.21$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Fire Flux Esports	34c	245.75$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.55	160	41.9%67 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Fire Flux Esports	33c	193$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.49	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed FUT Academy	70c	190$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d3d…371bbacked FUT Academy	63c	187.74$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.46	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Fire Flux Esports	37c	178.01$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.86	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Fire Flux Esports	25c	167.86$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.78	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-19.2wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Fire Flux Esports	21c	160$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	353	31.2%110 W · 243 L	-29.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FUT Academy	76c	150.56$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.71	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FUT Academy	77c	150$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Academy	77c	141.77$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.61	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports	23c	141.74$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Fire Flux Esports	37c	139.41$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.58	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fire Flux Esports	9c	122.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Fire Flux Esports	19c	120.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	425	40.5%172 W · 253 L	-22.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed FUT Academy	62c	119.18$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.29	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed FUT Academy	64c	118.4$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.62	202	48%97 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Fire Flux Esports	27c	110.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Fire Flux Esports	25c	110.56$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	347	39.8%138 W · 209 L	-13.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Fire Flux Esports	35c	109.8$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.43	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports	28c	109.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Fire Flux Esports	15c	106.06$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.13	308	35.4%109 W · 199 L	-23.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Fire Flux Esports	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	257	45.9%118 W · 139 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Fire Flux Esports	30c	95.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Fire Flux Esports	20c	94.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	308	28.2%87 W · 221 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked FUT Academy	60c	87.51$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.01	610	35.9%219 W · 391 L	-17.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Fire Flux Esports	26c	84.47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	174	48.3%84 W · 90 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed FUT Academy	77c	83.07$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fire Flux Esports	23c	82.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	575	17.7%102 W · 473 L	-71.7wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Fire Flux Esports	38c	78.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2555…5254backed Fire Flux Esports	32c	77.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked FUT Academy	64c	76.44$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.52	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4f…9940backed FUT Academy	64c	73.59$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x355c…79f6backed Fire Flux Esports	37c	73.36$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked FUT Academy	64c	70.51$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.72	112	48.2%54 W · 58 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fire Flux Esports	34c	70.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…74d3backed Fire Flux Esports	33c	60.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fire Flux Esports	22c	60.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	702	51.3%360 W · 342 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed FUT Academy	63c	53.32$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.73	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596f…14eabacked Fire Flux Esports	37c	52.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Academy	76c	50.02$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.9	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Fire Flux Esports	23c	47.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	175	55.4%97 W · 78 L	+12.0wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf6a…1ddbbacked FUT Academy	64c	42.07$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Fire Flux Esports	30c	41.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports	33c	40.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e9…48dfbacked Fire Flux Esports	36c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Fire Flux Esports	42c	34.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	190	40%76 W · 114 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed Fire Flux Esports	35c	32.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x59eb…7d85backed FUT Academy	63c	31.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.49	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked FUT Academy	64c	30.58$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90fa…48f4backed FUT Academy	64c	30.58$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Fire Flux Esports	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	196	61.7%121 W · 75 L	+20.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Fire Flux Esports	37c	29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…8803backed FUT Academy	74c	26.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.92	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked FUT Academy	75c	18.95$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	219	51.6%113 W · 106 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked FUT Academy	80c	15.76$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.15	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Academy	77c	13.29$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.06	215	58.1%125 W · 90 L	+15.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group Bthis page
Map Handicap: FUT.A (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)FUT Academy won
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 1 WinnerFUT Academy won
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 2 WinnerFUT Academy won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event