Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648bf230f944050eaadbc51621f92c2ee76be820d6ca5a867e8ff90bdaf9da9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Llamas Ruizof Aleksandar Vukic, Pablo Llamas Ruiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x588b…8593backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 10,714$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.29 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Aleksandar Vukic | 2c | 10,052$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 4,358$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Aleksandar Vukic | 4c | 2,399$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Aleksandar Vukic | 23c | 2,087$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.85 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Aleksandar Vukic | 2c | 1,988$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Aleksandar Vukic | 8c | 1,642$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…6ca1backed Aleksandar Vukic | 20c | 1,458$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 4c | 1,195$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 20c | 999.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Aleksandar Vukic | 11c | 890.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 798.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Aleksandar Vukic | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 271.74$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aleksandar Vukic | 19c | 266.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 20c | 248.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Aleksandar Vukic | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 217.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 180.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 20c | 166.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 130.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 14c | 123.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Aleksandar Vukic | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 14c | 94.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Aleksandar Vukic | 21c | 91.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 17c | 79.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aleksandar Vukic | 16c | 74.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 18c | 70.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Aleksandar Vukic | 19c | 65.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Aleksandar Vukic | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 19c | 54.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 53.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 29.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 17.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…ac1bbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas Ruizthis page
- Set Handicap: Ruiz (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)Ruiz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.