Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd358c6570a6f4090c218a49327d12c95670a242facb0bcfe1d768163371ac10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 4,754$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 15c | 4,344$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.61 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 14c | 2,141$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 2,015$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 51c | 1,588$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.66 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Yes | 51c | 1,493$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 32c | 864.49$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 54c | 744.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 15c | 680.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 73c | 593.86$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.52 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 48c | 547.11$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.95 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 70c | 484.74$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked No | 46c | 434.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 417.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 28c | 346.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 80c | 307.18$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 10c | 305$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 55c | 276.1$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 64c | 265.63$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda11…25c3backed Yes | 76c | 236.61$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 218.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 53c | 184.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 27c | 177.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 27c | 165.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 58c | 158.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 21c | 144.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 56c | 123.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 72c | 114$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…0d0bbacked Yes | 55c | 101.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 72c | 87.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 84.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 80.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 36c | 75.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 31c | 54.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 30c | 50.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 55c | 45.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 27c | 44.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…32e1backed Yes | 68c | 44.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…39b8backed No | 56c | 34.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 41c | 33.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 32.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…c2f7backed Yes | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 29.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…978cbacked Yes | 68c | 24.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed Yes | 76c | 22.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 71c | 19.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 75c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.