Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1690ea2ddaea3e5d23fae1909df93fed25f111f088499621a9af0cce93410ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 4c | 647.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 568.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 42c | 474.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 58c | 426$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 58c | 234.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 46c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 59c | 126.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 123.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 110.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 103.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 59c | 68.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 19c | 67.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 59.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 56.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 43c | 56.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…53b8backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 56c | 41.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 37.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…32e1backed Yes | 28c | 36.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…45a7backed Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 54c | 30.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 58c | 27.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.