Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: David Goffin vs Gabriel Diallo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6775375e8f1c5abea72895b1f67e135690970a6ad6120103be055a86d9307347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dialloof Goffin, Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Goffin | 40c | 20,856$8,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,327.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diallo | 60c | 12,526$7,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.13 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Diallo | 60c | 4,371$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.35 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diallo | 59c | 2,641$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.59 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Diallo | 61c | 1,570$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Diallo | 63c | 1,530$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Goffin | 38c | 1,218$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.72 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Goffin | 42c | 1,135$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.09 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Diallo | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Diallo | 62c | 981$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.78 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Goffin | 37c | 940.02$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.81 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Diallo | 63c | 544.56$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Goffin | 38c | 532.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Goffin | 39c | 512.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 325 | 48%156 W · 169 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diallo | 61c | 441.19$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Goffin | 38c | 162$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Goffin | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Goffin | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Goffin | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Diallo | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Goffin | 37c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Diallo | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Diallo | 62c | 76.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Goffin | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Diallo | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Diallo | 65c | 67.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Goffin | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Goffin | 38c | 35.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Diallo | 61c | 29.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Diallo | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.