Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2057a400e674e56b6ae1015268aba0ed65cbf6327d51b876c64a7349dd8ed568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 32c | 20,396$6,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,870.12 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 12,406$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,534.53 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 69c | 7,273$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 68c | 4,857$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 2,591$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 33c | 1,389$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.63 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,032$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 32c | 600.46$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.55 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 31c | 593.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 32c | 580.79$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.09 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 35c | 441.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 32c | 299.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 70c | 192.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Yes | 69c | 181.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 32c | 121$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 99.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 68c | 91.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 33c | 84.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed Yes | 69c | 68.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 75c | 53.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 69c | 50.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…ee68backed No | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…cd71backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Yes | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…c878backed Yes | 74c | 26.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 68c | 21.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 74c | 21.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2181…e9a0backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e3…77a9backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Sporting CP vs. SC Braga end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.