La Liga · resolved market
Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x091c7fb8d2d6e3cf8d6a5140e6283909de44fede9608558d117e99ac9bfba363
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 68c | 17,079$11,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,671.85 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 12,741$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,328.44 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 6,255$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 29c | 3,425$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.53 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 13c | 2,820$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 2,746$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.71 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 2,573$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.98 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 2,118$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.91 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 1,484$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.99 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 29c | 999.77$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 6c | 498.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 69c | 446.35$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 17c | 421.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 30c | 416$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 416$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 30c | 416$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 34c | 318.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 231.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 50c | 231.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 205$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 36c | 192.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 182.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Over | 41c | 181.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 26c | 180$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 57c | 169.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 47c | 154.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 137.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Over | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 102.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 26c | 73.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 65c | 59.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 65c | 58.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 71c | 56.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 36c | 56.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 47c | 53.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 53.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 47c | 53.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 45.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 48c | 45.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 48c | 45.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 48c | 45.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…3e84backed Over | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 64c | 42.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Over | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…9ce6backed Under | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Over | 37c | 33.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 63c | 31.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…8006backed Under | 68c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 28.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 27.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 46c | 26.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 64c | 22.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…a43cbacked Over | 60c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.