La Liga · resolved market
Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bfa24a53c716335079f5bc2a03409273887d201a43cae7da87e18a91345bf35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.96 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.17 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,182$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 60c | 761.13$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 39c | 368.49$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 308.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 60c | 308.68$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 61c | 263.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 61c | 263.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 61c | 259.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 252.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 252.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 60c | 252.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 60c | 252.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 60c | 252.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 60c | 251.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 60c | 251.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Over | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 14c | 221.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 59c | 218.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 63c | 195.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 60c | 181.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.3wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 172.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 60c | 139.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 59c | 81.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 59c | 81.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 60c | 81.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 38c | 75.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 70.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 40c | 65.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 65.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 40c | 56.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Over | 35c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 59c | 42.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 35c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 36c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 60c | 30.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 60c | 30.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 65c | 27.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 60c | 24.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 60c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.