South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb06f305f310fd63ec09ac6c09991d469dea90b36120367ce6d337e814cda5b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 46c | 6,230$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.41 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 4,392$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,180$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 48c | 1,162$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.38 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 47c | 738.78$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.23 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 48c | 607.51$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 5c | 422.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 260.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 49c | 197.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 47c | 178.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 45c | 154.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 142.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 46c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 53c | 124.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 46c | 113.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 82.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed No | 70c | 71.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 65.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Yes | 50c | 58.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 53c | 50.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 48.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked Yes | 48c | 45.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…6a71backed Yes | 45c | 39.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 44c | 38.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…d6a6backed No | 57c | 34.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 42c | 33.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 45c | 32.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 30.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.