WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c9d460bca216acb3155da0be7608da64b4e010f26085b04585baeebdcbc4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Dallas Wings, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 8,053$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.85 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 5,549$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 3,114$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.14 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 2,611$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.14 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,702$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.86 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 1,678$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.84 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 1,357$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.93 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 1,192$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.49 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 773.65$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.35 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 38c | 700.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.85 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 656.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.33 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 558.82$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 416.49$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 204.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Dallas Wings | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Dallas Wings | 14c | 195.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 60c | 164.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 151.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 148.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 121.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 115.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 48cpaid | +87%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 97.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Connecticut Sun | 64c | 77.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 52.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Connecticut Sun | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 42.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 36.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 32.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut SunDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.