WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b388a9e64f338fd32318464be173ca5a0c8f9da079920acb81de2fa0803bc1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Dallas Wings, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 11,580$6,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,131.29 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 6,790$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.72 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 3,540$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.86 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 2,000$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.24 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,903$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 1,837$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.51 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 44c | 1,732$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.87 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,085$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.77 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 1,024$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.68 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 940.7$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.54 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 693.75$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 628$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 567.77$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 439.54$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 267.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Dallas Wings | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Connecticut Sun | 42c | 139.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 87.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 74.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 71.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 32.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 25.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Dallas Wings | 43c | 24.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 22.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut SunDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.