WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52d101ff465f8c5215975b36f721599bbb371098d1c8e2f5f4708876befc1661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 60c | 2,977$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.92 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 2,896$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.71 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 55c | 545.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 513.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 386$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 373.34$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 6c | 215.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 48c | 173.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 47c | 107.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 14c | 93.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 39c | 76.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 22c | 73.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Under | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 43.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over | 28c | 43.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 67c | 36.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 54c | 29.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 53c | 28.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 45c | 27.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 67c | 21.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut SunDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.