CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1d1390dc89e6d3f8b8e0847f7f1258652ab20c032a9a152df6d3903a3ff441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ALKA | 20c | 3,250$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.29 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed ALKA | 27c | 1,457$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.99 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 79c | 1,014$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 77c | 1,005$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked ALKA | 21c | 715.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed ALKA | 14c | 471.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed ALKA | 50c | 300.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3562…9d02backed ALKA | 27c | 203.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed ALKA | 13c | 201.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed ALKA | 23c | 170.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Keyd | 77c | 152.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 80c | 143.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Keyd | 69c | 139.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Keyd | 80c | 128$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 80c | 125.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed ALKA | 21c | 115.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Keyd | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Keyd | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Keyd | 14c | 96.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed ALKA | 19c | 87.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked ALKA | 16c | 82.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Keyd | 73c | 73.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALKA | 22c | 72.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed ALKA | 20c | 70.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Keyd | 80c | 46.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ALKA | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Keyd | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Keyd | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Keyd | 80c | 37.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Keyd | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Keyd | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Keyd | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Keyd | 79c | 22.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Keyd | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Keyd | 80c | 13.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.